Wed, Apr 15 2026 • 18:00 •
King Saud University Stadium
Expected Goals
3.44 (league 1.69)
0.68 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 74.3% | 8.3% | 4.0% |
best score tips
3 - 0
11.0%
2 - 0
9.6%
4 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Al-Ettifaq | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al-Nassr | 0 | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.6% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.0% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.5% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al-Nassr | Al-Ettifaq |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 27% |
| Attack | 86% | 32% |
| Defense | 86% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 19 | 3.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al-Nassr | Al-Ettifaq | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 15 | 13 | 28 |
| Wins | 92% | 79% | 85% | 47% | 38% | 43% |
| Draws | 0% | 7% | 4% | 33% | 8% | 21% |
| Loses | 8% | 14% | 11% | 20% | 54% | 36% |
Form: Al-Nassr: WWWWWWWWWWDLLLWWWWWWWWWWWWW • Al-Ettifaq: WDLWLLDDWWDWWLWDWLWWLWLLDLWL
League goals
| Metric | Al-Nassr | Al-Ettifaq | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 38 | 38 | 76 | 25 | 16 | 41 |
| GF avg | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 10 | 11 | 21 | 23 | 26 | 49 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al-Nassr | Al-Ettifaq | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 48% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 81% | 22% | 46% | 54% |
| 2.5 | 48% | 7% | 18% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 30% | 0% | 7% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 22% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al-Nassr | Al-Ettifaq | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al-Nassr | Al-Ettifaq |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 8 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 8 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al-Nassr | Al-Ettifaq |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 10 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-5 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al-Nassr | Al-Ettifaq |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 79% | 21% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 77% | 23% |
| Poisson Distribution | 85% | 15% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 65% | 35% |
| Total | 75.0% | 25.0% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Al-Nassr and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Al-Nassr = 3.44 (league 1.69), Al-Ettifaq = 0.68 (league 1.41)
| Al-Ettifaq | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al-Nassr | 0 | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.6% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.0% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.5% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.3% · Draw 8.3% · Away win 4.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1