Sat, May 2 2026 • 16:10 •
Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.62)
1.29 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.4% | 27.2% | 39.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 1
11.0%
1 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Al Khaleej Saihat | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Damac | 0 | 8.6% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Damac carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 32 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Damac +35.9, Al Khaleej Saihat -5.5.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Damac
vs
Al Khaleej Saihat
Elo gapDamac +32
Home / draw / away40% / 26% / 34%
Expected home share55%
Combined Elo2899.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2899.1
Elo home share
55%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Damac | Al Khaleej Saihat |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1447.9 | 1451.2 |
| Form Elo | 1466.4 | 1436.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1466.2 | 1481.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1390 | 1555.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1497.4 | 1418.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +35.9 | -5.5 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Damac last-5 Elo change: +35.9; Al Khaleej Saihat last-5 Elo change: -5.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Damac | Al Khaleej Saihat |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 27% |
| Attack | 90% | 40% |
| Defense | 50% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Damac | Al Khaleej Saihat | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 14 | 29 | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| Wins | 20% | 14% | 17% | 38% | 20% | 29% |
| Draws | 40% | 36% | 38% | 15% | 33% | 25% |
| Loses | 40% | 50% | 45% | 46% | 47% | 46% |
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Al Khaleej SaihatWWLLWDDWLLLDWWWLDLLDDLLLWLDL
League goals
| Metric | Damac | Al Khaleej Saihat | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 12 | 27 | 23 | 23 | 46 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 18 | 28 | 46 | 19 | 28 | 47 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Damac | Al Khaleej Saihat | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 83% | 71% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 41% | 46% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 21% | 25% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 21% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Damac | Al Khaleej Saihat | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Damac | Al Khaleej Saihat |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Damac | Al Khaleej Saihat |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 4-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 6-1 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Damac | Al Khaleej Saihat |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 48.2% | 51.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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