Wed, Oct 15 2025 • 02:30 • Estadio Akron
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
0.66 (league 1.51) 1.83 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.8% 21.8% 64.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.1%
0 - 2
13.8%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Ecuador
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mexico 0 8.2% 15.1% 13.8% 8.4% 3.9% 1.4%
1 5.5% 10.0% 9.2% 5.6% 2.6% 0.9%
2 1.8% 3.3% 3.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMexicoEcuador
Played51
Form33%33%
Attack28%6%
Defense44%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 21 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mexico Ecuador
HATHAT
Played505011
Wins20%20%0%0%
Draws40%40%100%100%
Loses40%40%0%0%

Form: Mexico: LWDDL • Ecuador: D

League goals

Metric Mexico Ecuador
HATHAT
GF total505011
GF avg1.00.01.00.01.01.0
GA total10010011
GA avg2.00.02.00.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMexicoEcuador
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%60%100%100%
1.540%60%0%0%
2.50%40%0%0%
3.50%40%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMexicoEcuador
HATHAT
Clean sheets202000
Failed to score202000

Penalties

MetricMexicoEcuador
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMexicoEcuador
Wins10
Draws21
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0
Biggest losses0-4
Goals For2001
Goals Against4001

Model comparison

MetricMexicoEcuador
Form83%17%
Att83%17%
Def9%91%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h38%62%
Goals46%54%
Total47.7%52.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ecuador

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Unibet
Draw3.45 @ Betano
Away3.35 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.22 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.76 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Mexico = 0.66 (league 1.51), Ecuador = 1.83 (league 1.09)

Ecuador
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mexico 0 8.2% 15.1% 13.8% 8.4% 3.9% 1.4%
1 5.5% 10.0% 9.2% 5.6% 2.6% 0.9%
2 1.8% 3.3% 3.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.8% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 64.3%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1