Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Municipal de Aserrí
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.59) 0.98 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.1% 33.3% 39.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.7%
0 - 1
17.3%
1 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
AD Carmelita
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aserri FC 0 17.7% 17.3% 8.5% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.3% 13.1% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 5.0% 4.9% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAserri FCAD Carmelita
Played45
Form33%47%
Attack23%38%
Defense62%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.35 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

47%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aserri FC AD Carmelita
HATHAT
Played134325
Wins0%33%25%67%0%40%
Draws100%0%25%0%50%20%
Loses0%67%50%33%50%40%

Form: Aserri FC: LDLW • AD Carmelita: LDWLW

League goals

Metric Aserri FC AD Carmelita
HATHAT
GF total033325
GF avg0.01.00.81.01.01.0
GA total055235
GA avg0.01.71.30.71.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAserri FCAD Carmelita
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%80%80%
1.525%50%20%20%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAserri FCAD Carmelita
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricAserri FCAD Carmelita
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAserri FCAD Carmelita
Wins01
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-22-1—
Biggest losses—2-00-12-1
Goals For0221
Goals Against0212

Model comparison

MetricAserri FCAD Carmelita
Form36%64%
Att38%63%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total39.3%61.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or AD Carmelita and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ William Hill
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away3.30 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ SBO
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ William Hill
No2.02 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aserri FC = 0.76 (league 1.59), AD Carmelita = 0.98 (league 1.33)

AD Carmelita
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aserri FC 0 17.7% 17.3% 8.5% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.3% 13.1% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 5.0% 4.9% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.1% · Draw 33.3% · Away win 39.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1