Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio de Piedades
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.56) 0.89 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.0% 27.0% 23.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.1%
1 - 1
12.5%
2 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
AD Carmelita
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Ana 0 9.9% 8.8% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.1% 12.5% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.0% 8.9% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 4.7% 4.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanta AnaAD Carmelita
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack54%38%
Defense54%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santa Ana AD Carmelita
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%33%33%67%0%33%
Draws33%67%50%0%33%17%
Loses33%0%17%33%67%50%

Form: Santa Ana: DDDWWL • AD Carmelita: LDWLWL

League goals

Metric Santa Ana AD Carmelita
HATHAT
GF total538325
GF avg1.71.01.31.00.70.8
GA total527246
GA avg1.70.71.20.71.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanta AnaAD Carmelita
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%67%83%
1.550%33%17%17%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanta AnaAD Carmelita
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricSanta AnaAD Carmelita
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSanta AnaAD Carmelita
Wins21
Draws31
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-22-1—
Biggest losses1-2—0-12-1
Goals For2221
Goals Against2112

Model comparison

MetricSanta AnaAD Carmelita
Form53%47%
Att58%42%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h64%36%
Goals60%40%
Total56.0%44.0%

Advice: Double chance : Santa Ana or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ William Hill
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away4.20 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Superbet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santa Ana = 1.42 (league 1.56), AD Carmelita = 0.89 (league 1.34)

AD Carmelita
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Ana 0 9.9% 8.8% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.1% 12.5% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.0% 8.9% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 4.7% 4.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.0% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 23.6%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1