Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio Municipal de Aserrí
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.53 (league 1.59) 0.98 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.6% 35.1% 45.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.0%
0 - 1
21.5%
1 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Cariari Pococi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aserri FC 0 22.0% 21.5% 10.5% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.8% 11.5% 5.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 3.1% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAserri FCCariari Pococi
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack29%29%
Defense65%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aserri FC Cariari Pococi
HATHAT
Played246336
Wins50%25%33%0%0%0%
Draws50%0%17%100%33%67%
Loses0%75%50%0%67%33%

Form: Aserri FC: LDLWWL • Cariari Pococi: DDLDLD

League goals

Metric Aserri FC Cariari Pococi
HATHAT
GF total145437
GF avg0.51.00.81.31.01.2
GA total088459
GA avg0.02.01.31.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAserri FCCariari Pococi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%67%83%
1.517%50%33%50%
2.50%17%17%17%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAserri FCCariari Pococi
HATHAT
Clean sheets202101
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricAserri FCCariari Pococi
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAserri FCCariari Pococi
Wins20
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-2——
Biggest losses—3-1—2-1
Goals For1232
Goals Against0332

Model comparison

MetricAserri FCCariari Pococi
Form70%30%
Att50%50%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total54.8%45.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Aserri FC or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aserri FC = 0.53 (league 1.59), Cariari Pococi = 0.98 (league 1.33)

Cariari Pococi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aserri FC 0 22.0% 21.5% 10.5% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.8% 11.5% 5.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 3.1% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.6% · Draw 35.1% · Away win 45.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1