Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 21:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.59) 0.60 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.4% 31.9% 19.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.0%
0 - 0
17.6%
1 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
CS Uruguay
0 1 2 3 4 5
AD Carmelita 0 17.6% 10.6% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.0% 12.0% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.3% 6.8% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAD CarmelitaCS Uruguay
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack40%40%
Defense30%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AD Carmelita CS Uruguay
HATHAT
Played46105510
Wins50%0%20%40%0%20%
Draws25%50%40%20%40%30%
Loses25%50%40%40%60%50%

Form: AD Carmelita: LDWLWLDDDL • CS Uruguay: LDLWLWDLDL

League goals

Metric AD Carmelita CS Uruguay
HATHAT
GF total4596511
GF avg1.00.80.91.21.01.1
GA total39127916
GA avg0.81.51.21.41.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAD CarmelitaCS Uruguay
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%90%70%80%
1.520%30%30%50%
2.50%0%10%10%
3.50%0%0%10%
4.50%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAD CarmelitaCS Uruguay
HATHAT
Clean sheets101022
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricAD CarmelitaCS Uruguay
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAD CarmelitaCS Uruguay
Wins11
Draws31
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—2-1—
Biggest losses0-12-00-25-3
Goals For2223
Goals Against1225

Model comparison

MetricAD CarmelitaCS Uruguay
Form38%63%
Att50%50%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total46.2%54.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or CS Uruguay

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ 10Bet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away3.20 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Unibet
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AD Carmelita = 1.13 (league 1.59), CS Uruguay = 0.60 (league 1.33)

CS Uruguay
0 1 2 3 4 5
AD Carmelita 0 17.6% 10.6% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.0% 12.0% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.3% 6.8% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.4% · Draw 31.9% · Away win 19.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1