Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 21:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.59) 0.60 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.4% 31.9% 19.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.0%
0 - 0
17.6%
1 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Aserri FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
AD Carmelita 0 17.6% 10.6% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.0% 12.0% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.3% 6.8% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAD CarmelitaAserri FC
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack45%36%
Defense45%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AD Carmelita Aserri FC
HATHAT
Played57125510
Wins40%14%25%40%20%30%
Draws40%43%42%20%20%20%
Loses20%43%33%40%60%50%

Form: AD Carmelita: LDWLWLDDDLDW • Aserri FC: LDLWWLLDWL

League goals

Metric AD Carmelita Aserri FC
HATHAT
GF total5611358
GF avg1.00.90.90.61.00.8
GA total49134913
GA avg0.81.31.10.81.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAD CarmelitaAserri FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%83%70%70%
1.517%25%10%40%
2.50%0%0%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAD CarmelitaAserri FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets112303
Failed to score123213

Penalties

MetricAD CarmelitaAserri FC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAD CarmelitaAserri FC
Wins12
Draws31
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-11-01-2
Biggest losses0-12-01-33-1
Goals For2212
Goals Against1233

Model comparison

MetricAD CarmelitaAserri FC
Form60%40%
Att56%44%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h67%33%
Goals57%43%
Total60.2%39.8%

Advice: Double chance : AD Carmelita or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.89 @ 1xBet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away3.57 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.89 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Marathonbet
No2.04 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AD Carmelita = 1.13 (league 1.59), Aserri FC = 0.60 (league 1.33)

Aserri FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
AD Carmelita 0 17.6% 10.6% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.0% 12.0% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.3% 6.8% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.4% · Draw 31.9% · Away win 19.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1