Friendlies — World
Wed, Nov 12 2025 • 17:00 • Gazprom Arena
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
3.59 (league 1.51) 0.27 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.8% 4.7% 1.0%
best score tips
3 - 0
16.2%
4 - 0
14.5%
2 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Peru
0 1 2 3 4 5
Russia 0 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.5% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.5% 3.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.2% 4.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.5% 4.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 10.4% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRussiaPeru
Played51
Form87%0%
Attack68%5%
Defense84%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.61 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Russia Peru
HATHAT
Played628011
Wins67%100%75%—0%0%
Draws33%0%25%—0%0%
Loses0%0%0%—100%100%

Form: Russia: WWDWDWWW • Peru: L

League goals

Metric Russia Peru
HATHAT
GF total16824011
GF avg2.74.03.00.01.01.0
GA total224022
GA avg0.31.00.50.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRussiaPeru
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%50%100%100%
1.575%0%0%100%
2.563%0%0%0%
3.550%0%0%0%
4.525%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRussiaPeru
HATHAT
Clean sheets404000
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricRussiaPeru
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricRussiaPeru
Wins20
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-4——
Biggest losses———2-1
Goals For5401
Goals Against1102

Model comparison

MetricRussiaPeru
Form100%0%
Att93%7%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution93%7%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total75.3%24.7%

Advice: Winner : Russia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.45 @ 10Bet
Draw5.19 @ 1xBet
Away8.95 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.05 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.26 @ 188Bet
No1.69 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Russia = 3.59 (league 1.51), Peru = 0.27 (league 1.09)

Peru
0 1 2 3 4 5
Russia 0 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.5% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.5% 3.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.2% 4.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.5% 4.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 10.4% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.8% · Draw 4.7% · Away win 1.0%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1