Mon, Sep 22 2025 • 15:00 • Stadion Beroe
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.33) 0.73 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.3% 39.3% 34.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.4%
0 - 1
19.3%
1 - 0
15.8%
Score & goals probability table
Cherno More Varna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arda Kardzhali 0 26.4% 19.3% 7.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.8% 11.6% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.8% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArda KardzhaliCherno More Varna
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack25%50%
Defense42%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arda Kardzhali Cherno More Varna
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%25%25%75%25%50%
Draws75%0%38%25%50%38%
Loses0%75%38%0%25%13%

Form: Arda Kardzhali: LDWDLDLW • Cherno More Varna: DWWDWDLW

League goals

Metric Arda Kardzhali Cherno More Varna
HATHAT
GF total4599413
GF avg1.01.31.12.31.01.6
GA total369235
GA avg0.81.51.10.50.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArda KardzhaliCherno More Varna
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%63%75%63%
1.525%38%50%0%
2.513%13%25%0%
3.513%0%13%0%
4.513%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArda KardzhaliCherno More Varna
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score134022

Penalties

MetricArda KardzhaliCherno More Varna
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricArda KardzhaliCherno More Varna
Wins12
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-54-01-3
Biggest losses3-01-0
Goals For2543
Goals Against2311

Model comparison

MetricArda KardzhaliCherno More Varna
Form38%62%
Att33%67%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h50%50%
Goals67%33%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Cherno More Varna and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.82 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.97 @ Marathonbet
Away3.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.88 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.46 @ 188Bet
No1.65 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arda Kardzhali = 0.60 (league 1.33), Cherno More Varna = 0.73 (league 1.09)

Cherno More Varna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arda Kardzhali 0 26.4% 19.3% 7.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.8% 11.6% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.8% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.3% · Draw 39.3% · Away win 34.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1