Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 14:45 • Stadion Lokomotiv
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.90 (league 1.34) 1.77 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.5% 21.6% 35.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.6%
2 - 1
8.1%
1 - 2
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
Botev Plovdiv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Septemvri Sofia 0 2.5% 4.5% 4.0% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4%
1 4.8% 8.6% 7.6% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.6% 8.1% 7.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.9% 5.2% 4.6% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
4 1.4% 2.5% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSeptemvri SofiaBotev Plovdiv
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack50%25%
Defense25%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Septemvri Sofia Botev Plovdiv
HATHAT
Played448437
Wins50%0%25%0%33%14%
Draws0%0%0%25%0%14%
Loses50%100%75%75%67%71%

Form: Septemvri Sofia: LLLLWLWL • Botev Plovdiv: DLLLWLL

League goals

Metric Septemvri Sofia Botev Plovdiv
HATHAT
GF total628145
GF avg1.50.51.00.31.30.7
GA total612188513
GA avg1.53.02.32.01.71.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSeptemvri SofiaBotev Plovdiv
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%88%57%100%
1.525%75%14%43%
2.50%38%0%14%
3.50%13%0%14%
4.50%13%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSeptemvri SofiaBotev Plovdiv
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score022303

Penalties

MetricSeptemvri SofiaBotev Plovdiv
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSeptemvri SofiaBotev Plovdiv
Wins11
Draws01
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-2
Biggest losses2-35-00-52-1
Goals For2112
Goals Against3552

Model comparison

MetricSeptemvri SofiaBotev Plovdiv
Form67%33%
Att67%33%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h40%60%
Goals31%69%
Total50.3%49.7%

Advice: Double chance : Septemvri Sofia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.50 @ Unibet
Draw3.50 @ Pinnacle
Away2.17 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Septemvri Sofia = 1.90 (league 1.34), Botev Plovdiv = 1.77 (league 1.10)

Botev Plovdiv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Septemvri Sofia 0 2.5% 4.5% 4.0% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4%
1 4.8% 8.6% 7.6% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.6% 8.1% 7.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.9% 5.2% 4.6% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
4 1.4% 2.5% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.5% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 35.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1