Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 14:45 • Stadion Ogosta
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.33) 0.19 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.4% 44.8% 8.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
38.9%
1 - 0
29.2%
2 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Spartak Varna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montana 0 38.9% 7.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.2% 5.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.0% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMontanaSpartak Varna
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack42%50%
Defense83%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Montana Spartak Varna
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins50%25%38%20%0%13%
Draws50%0%25%40%67%50%
Loses0%75%38%40%33%38%

Form: Montana: LDLDLWWW • Spartak Varna: DDDLLDLW

League goals

Metric Montana Spartak Varna
HATHAT
GF total426628
GF avg1.00.50.81.20.71.0
GA total11011639
GA avg0.32.51.41.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMontanaSpartak Varna
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%50%75%63%
1.513%38%13%38%
2.50%25%13%13%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMontanaSpartak Varna
HATHAT
Clean sheets314213
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricMontanaSpartak Varna
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMontanaSpartak Varna
Wins00
Draws13
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-13-0
Biggest losses5-01-32-1
Goals For2131
Goals Against1532

Model comparison

MetricMontanaSpartak Varna
Form71%29%
Att45%55%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h25%75%
Goals38%63%
Total56.0%44.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Montana or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.90 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.48 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ Dafabet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ 188Bet
No1.82 @ Dafabet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Montana = 0.75 (league 1.33), Spartak Varna = 0.19 (league 1.09)

Spartak Varna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montana 0 38.9% 7.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.2% 5.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.0% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.4% · Draw 44.8% · Away win 8.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1