Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Stadion Spartak
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.48 (league 1.34) 0.58 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.3% 44.8% 30.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
34.4%
0 - 1
20.1%
1 - 0
16.6%
Score & goals probability table
Lokomotiv Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dobrudzha 0 34.4% 20.1% 5.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.6% 9.7% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDobrudzhaLokomotiv Sofia
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack30%20%
Defense20%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dobrudzha Lokomotiv Sofia
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins67%0%25%25%25%25%
Draws0%0%0%50%50%50%
Loses33%100%75%25%25%25%

Form: Dobrudzha: LWLWLLLL • Lokomotiv Sofia: DDWWDDLL

League goals

Metric Dobrudzha Lokomotiv Sofia
HATHAT
GF total426527
GF avg1.30.40.81.30.50.9
GA total4812325
GA avg1.31.61.50.80.50.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDobrudzhaLokomotiv Sofia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%63%50%
1.525%50%13%13%
2.50%0%13%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDobrudzhaLokomotiv Sofia
HATHAT
Clean sheets000224
Failed to score134123

Penalties

MetricDobrudzhaLokomotiv Sofia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDobrudzhaLokomotiv Sofia
Wins12
Draws02
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—3-00-1
Biggest losses0-22-01-21-0
Goals For2131
Goals Against2221

Model comparison

MetricDobrudzhaLokomotiv Sofia
Form38%63%
Att60%40%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h20%80%
Goals17%83%
Total33.7%66.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Lokomotiv Sofia and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.15 @ 188Bet
Draw3.40 @ Pinnacle
Away2.60 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dobrudzha = 0.48 (league 1.34), Lokomotiv Sofia = 0.58 (league 1.11)

Lokomotiv Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dobrudzha 0 34.4% 20.1% 5.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.6% 9.7% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.3% · Draw 44.8% · Away win 30.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1