Primera B — Colombia
Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio de La Independencia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.48 (league 1.30) 0.35 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
80.0% 12.2% 3.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
18.1%
3 - 0
15.0%
1 - 0
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
Bogota FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Patriotas 0 5.9% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.5% 5.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.1% 6.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.0% 5.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.3% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPatriotasBogota FC
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack50%50%
Defense50%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Patriotas Bogota FC
HATHAT
Played151631121123
Wins67%38%52%33%9%22%
Draws20%19%19%33%18%26%
Loses13%44%29%33%73%52%

Form: Patriotas: WDWWDWWWLWWDWLLWLDWLWWDLLWLWDWL • Bogota FC: DLDWLLLLLDLDWWLLDLWLDLW

League goals

Metric Patriotas Bogota FC
HATHAT
GF total21153617724
GF avg1.40.91.21.40.61.0
GA total81826192544
GA avg0.51.10.81.62.31.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePatriotasBogota FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%61%65%91%
1.542%16%39%65%
2.510%6%0%22%
3.50%0%0%9%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPatriotasBogota FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets8412202
Failed to score4711268

Penalties

MetricPatriotasBogota FC
Scored (total | %)4 | 80.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 20.00%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricPatriotasBogota FC
Wins32
Draws11
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-32-01-2
Biggest losses0-13-00-35-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against2335

Model comparison

MetricPatriotasBogota FC
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total60.8%39.3%

Advice: Double chance : Patriotas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Bet365
Draw4.15 @ Pinnacle
Away7.08 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.91 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Patriotas = 2.48 (league 1.30), Bogota FC = 0.35 (league 0.85)

Bogota FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Patriotas 0 5.9% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.5% 5.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.1% 6.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.0% 5.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.3% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.0% · Draw 12.2% · Away win 3.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1