Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 14:45 • Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.28 (league 1.31) 0.39 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.5% 14.6% 4.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
18.0%
1 - 0
15.8%
3 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Al-Faisaly FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Diriyah 0 6.9% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.8% 6.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.0% 7.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.6% 5.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.8% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl DiriyahAl-Faisaly FC
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack77%62%
Defense54%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al Diriyah Al-Faisaly FC
HATHAT
Played358347
Wins100%40%63%33%25%29%
Draws0%40%25%67%75%71%
Loses0%20%13%0%0%0%

Form: Al Diriyah: DWWWLDWW • Al-Faisaly FC: DDDDWDW

League goals

Metric Al Diriyah Al-Faisaly FC
HATHAT
GF total78153710
GF avg2.31.61.91.01.81.4
GA total167257
GA avg0.31.20.90.71.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl DiriyahAl-Faisaly FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%50%71%57%
1.563%25%57%43%
2.538%13%14%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl DiriyahAl-Faisaly FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets224213
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricAl DiriyahAl-Faisaly FC
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAl DiriyahAl-Faisaly FC
Wins31
Draws14
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-21-01-3
Biggest losses—2-1——
Goals For3323
Goals Against1322

Model comparison

MetricAl DiriyahAl-Faisaly FC
Form53%47%
Att56%44%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total60.3%39.8%

Advice: Winner : Al Diriyah

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ Betano
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away4.28 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.77 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.09 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Pinnacle
No2.18 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al Diriyah = 2.28 (league 1.31), Al-Faisaly FC = 0.39 (league 1.38)

Al-Faisaly FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Diriyah 0 6.9% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.8% 6.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.0% 7.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.6% 5.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.8% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.5% · Draw 14.6% · Away win 4.9%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1