Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 12:20 • King Abdullah Sports City Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.43) 0.78 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.3% 22.8% 15.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.7%
2 - 0
12.3%
1 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Al Diriyah
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Raed 0 7.7% 6.0% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.7% 10.7% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.3% 9.6% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.3% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl-RaedAl Diriyah
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack27%67%
Defense73%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al-Raed Al Diriyah
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins50%33%42%83%33%58%
Draws50%33%42%17%33%25%
Loses0%33%17%0%33%17%

Form: Al-Raed: DWWDLWWDLWDD • Al Diriyah: DWWWLDWWDWLW

League goals

Metric Al-Raed Al Diriyah
HATHAT
GF total1081815823
GF avg1.71.31.52.51.31.9
GA total57124913
GA avg0.81.21.00.71.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl-RaedAl Diriyah
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%67%83%67%
1.542%17%58%25%
2.517%8%33%17%
3.517%8%8%0%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl-RaedAl Diriyah
HATHAT
Clean sheets134224
Failed to score123022

Penalties

MetricAl-RaedAl Diriyah
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricAl-RaedAl Diriyah
Wins23
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-25-10-2
Biggest losses—2-1—3-0
Goals For4453
Goals Against1413

Model comparison

MetricAl-RaedAl Diriyah
Form38%63%
Att29%71%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total50.8%49.5%

Advice: Double chance : Al-Raed or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.52 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.77 @ Pinnacle
Away2.10 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ 10Bet
No2.23 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al-Raed = 1.79 (league 1.43), Al Diriyah = 0.78 (league 1.33)

Al Diriyah
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Raed 0 7.7% 6.0% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.7% 10.7% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.3% 9.6% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.3% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.3% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 15.9%

vtt 8 , vtd1