Wed, Jan 7 2026 • 12:30 • Al Raid Club Stadium
Match Finished
3 - 2
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.37) 1.72 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.5% 23.8% 50.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
0 - 1
10.1%
1 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Al Ula
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Raed 0 5.9% 10.1% 8.7% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7%
1 6.5% 11.2% 9.7% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.6% 6.3% 5.4% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5%
3 1.4% 2.3% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl-RaedAl Ula
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack35%45%
Defense55%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al-Raed Al Ula
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins43%29%36%43%57%50%
Draws43%29%36%57%29%43%
Loses14%43%29%0%14%7%

Form: Al-Raed: DWWDLWWDLWDDLL • Al Ula: WWWDWWDWDDLWDD

League goals

Metric Al-Raed Al Ula
HATHAT
GF total121123151530
GF avg1.71.61.62.12.12.1
GA total812207613
GA avg1.11.71.41.00.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl-RaedAl Ula
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%71%93%71%
1.550%29%50%21%
2.521%21%29%0%
3.514%14%21%0%
4.50%7%21%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl-RaedAl Ula
HATHAT
Clean sheets134134
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricAl-RaedAl Ula
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricAl-RaedAl Ula
Wins23
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-25-10-5
Biggest losses2-35-3—2-0
Goals For4455
Goals Against3522

Model comparison

MetricAl-RaedAl Ula
Form45%55%
Att44%56%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total42.8%57.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Al Ula

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.23 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.79 @ Pinnacle
Away2.12 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ Pinnacle
No2.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al-Raed = 1.11 (league 1.37), Al Ula = 1.72 (league 1.34)

Al Ula
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Raed 0 5.9% 10.1% 8.7% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7%
1 6.5% 11.2% 9.7% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.6% 6.3% 5.4% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5%
3 1.4% 2.3% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.5% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 50.8%

vtt 3 , vtd1