Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 13:00 •
Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium
Expected Goals
2.85 (league 1.37)
1.19 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.8% | 15.2% | 13.0% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.5%
3 - 1
8.1%
2 - 0
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Al-Raed | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Abha | 0 | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.8% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Abha | Al-Raed |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 27% |
| Attack | 53% | 53% |
| Defense | 76% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Abha | Al-Raed | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| Wins | 63% | 88% | 75% | 44% | 29% | 38% |
| Draws | 25% | 13% | 19% | 33% | 29% | 31% |
| Loses | 13% | 0% | 6% | 22% | 43% | 31% |
Form: Abha: DWLWWWWWWDWDWWWW • Al-Raed: DWWDLWWDLWDDLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Abha | Al-Raed | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 17 | 35 | 16 | 11 | 27 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 8 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Abha | Al-Raed | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 94% | 56% | 81% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% | 50% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 38% | 6% | 25% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 13% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Abha | Al-Raed | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Abha | Al-Raed |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Abha | Al-Raed |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-3 | 4-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | — | 2-3 | 5-3 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Abha | Al-Raed |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 76% | 24% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 59.3% | 40.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Abha or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Abha = 2.85 (league 1.37), Al-Raed = 1.19 (league 1.35)
| Al-Raed | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Abha | 0 | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.8% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.8% · Draw 15.2% · Away win 13.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1