Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 •
Centre d’entraînement de Frescaty
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.63)
0.96 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.1% | 28.9% | 28.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.8%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Lille II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Metz II | 0 | 11.2% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.8% | 13.2% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.4% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Metz II | Lille II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 8% | 33% |
| Attack | 44% | 33% |
| Defense | 22% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.8 | 5 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Metz II | Lille II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 100% | 67% | 75% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
Form: Metz II: DLLL • Lille II: LWLD
League goals
| Metric | Metz II | Lille II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Metz II | Lille II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 75% | 0% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Metz II | Lille II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Metz II | Lille II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Metz II | Lille II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Metz II | Lille II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 53.7% | 46.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Metz II or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Metz II = 1.23 (league 1.63), Lille II = 0.96 (league 1.04)
| Lille II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Metz II | 0 | 11.2% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.8% | 13.2% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.4% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.1% · Draw 28.9% · Away win 28.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1