Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 17:00 •
Stade Joseph Duvet
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.57)
0.94 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.5% | 24.5% | 21.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.4%
1 - 1
11.6%
2 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Gazelec FC Ajaccio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pays de Cassel | 0 | 7.5% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.3% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pays de Cassel | Gazelec FC Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 67% |
| Attack | 27% | 47% |
| Defense | 47% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pays de Cassel | Gazelec FC Ajaccio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Wins | 67% | 0% | 29% | 67% | 50% | 57% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 14% | 33% | 25% | 29% |
| Loses | 33% | 75% | 57% | 0% | 25% | 14% |
Form: Pays de Cassel: LWLWDLL • Gazelec FC Ajaccio: WDWWLDW
League goals
| Metric | Pays de Cassel | Gazelec FC Ajaccio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pays de Cassel | Gazelec FC Ajaccio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 57% | 86% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 57% | 29% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 43% | 14% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pays de Cassel | Gazelec FC Ajaccio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pays de Cassel | Gazelec FC Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pays de Cassel | Gazelec FC Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | — | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pays de Cassel | Gazelec FC Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 43.8% | 56.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Gazelec FC Ajaccio
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Pays de Cassel = 1.65 (league 1.57), Gazelec FC Ajaccio = 0.94 (league 1.07)
| Gazelec FC Ajaccio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pays de Cassel | 0 | 7.5% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.3% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.5% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 21.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1