Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 11:00 •
Burnley FC Training Centre
Expected Goals
2.28 (league 2.30)
0.05 (league 2.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 85.7% | 10.9% | 0.5% |
best score tips
2 - 0
25.3%
1 - 0
22.2%
3 - 0
19.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Derby County U18 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Burnley U18 | 0 | 9.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 25.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 19.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Burnley U18 | Derby County U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 33% | 0% |
| Attack | 19% | 0% |
| Defense | 67% | 52% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 2.3 | 13 | 3.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
75%
FT probability
3.5+
53%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Burnley U18 | Derby County U18 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Form: Burnley U18: WDLL • Derby County U18: LLLL
League goals
| Metric | Burnley U18 | Derby County U18 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| GA total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 3.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Burnley U18 | Derby County U18 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 0% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 0% | 100% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 75% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Burnley U18 | Derby County U18 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Burnley U18 | Derby County U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Burnley U18 | Derby County U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-6 | 1-0 | 0-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Burnley U18 | Derby County U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 100% | 0% |
| Def | 59% | 41% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 53.0% | 47.0% |
Advice: Winner : Burnley U18
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Burnley U18 = 2.28 (league 2.30), Derby County U18 = 0.05 (league 2.12)
| Derby County U18 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Burnley U18 | 0 | 9.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 25.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 19.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 85.7% · Draw 10.9% · Away win 0.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1