Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 11:30 •
Moor Farm Training Centre
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 2.34)
1.71 (league 2.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.6% | 23.8% | 56.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.2%
1 - 1
11.3%
0 - 2
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Middlesbrough U18 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Derby County U18 | 0 | 7.7% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Derby County U18 | Middlesbrough U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 53% |
| Attack | 13% | 38% |
| Defense | 13% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
8.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Derby County U18 | Middlesbrough U18 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 33% | 20% | 50% | 0% | 40% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 40% |
| Loses | 100% | 67% | 80% | 0% | 100% | 20% |
Form: Derby County U18: LLLLW • Middlesbrough U18: WLDWD
League goals
| Metric | Derby County U18 | Middlesbrough U18 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 6 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 5.0 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Derby County U18 | Middlesbrough U18 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 20% | 100% | 60% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 80% | 40% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 60% | 20% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 40% | 0% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Derby County U18 | Middlesbrough U18 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Derby County U18 | Middlesbrough U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Derby County U18 | Middlesbrough U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | — | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Derby County U18 | Middlesbrough U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 50.8% | 49.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Middlesbrough U18
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Derby County U18 = 0.86 (league 2.34), Middlesbrough U18 = 1.71 (league 2.11)
| Middlesbrough U18 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Derby County U18 | 0 | 7.7% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.6% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 56.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1