Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 11:00 •
Clayton Wood Training Ground
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 2.28)
1.34 (league 2.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.6% | 26.6% | 39.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 1
10.4%
1 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Derby County U18 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Stoke City U18 | 0 | 7.8% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Stoke City U18 | Derby County U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 47% |
| Attack | 47% | 26% |
| Defense | 42% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
71%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Stoke City U18 | Derby County U18 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 20% | 33% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
| Loses | 80% | 67% | 75% | 75% | 50% | 63% |
Form: Stoke City U18: LLLLWWLL • Derby County U18: LLLLWDWL
League goals
| Metric | Stoke City U18 | Derby County U18 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 14 | 7 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| GA avg | 2.8 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Stoke City U18 | Derby County U18 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 100% | 38% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 75% | 25% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 63% | 0% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Stoke City U18 | Derby County U18 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Stoke City U18 | Derby County U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Stoke City U18 | Derby County U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | — | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 3-0 | 0-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Stoke City U18 | Derby County U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 32% | 68% |
| Total | 40.3% | 59.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Derby County U18
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Stoke City U18 = 1.21 (league 2.28), Derby County U18 = 1.34 (league 2.09)
| Derby County U18 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Stoke City U18 | 0 | 7.8% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.6% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 39.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1