Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 13:00 •
Newcastle United Football Academy
Expected Goals
2.63 (league 2.28)
1.12 (league 2.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5% | 16.4% | 13.8% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.1%
2 - 0
8.2%
3 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Derby County U18 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Newcastle United U18 | 0 | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.1% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Newcastle United U18 | Derby County U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 67% |
| Attack | 43% | 43% |
| Defense | 57% | 61% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
79%
FT probability
3.5+
56%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Newcastle United U18 | Derby County U18 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 75% | 60% | 67% | 20% | 60% | 40% |
| Draws | 0% | 20% | 11% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Loses | 25% | 20% | 22% | 60% | 40% | 50% |
Form: Newcastle United U18: WWDWLLWWW • Derby County U18: LLLLWDWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Newcastle United U18 | Derby County U18 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 13 | 22 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 5 | 11 | 16 | 10 | 13 | 23 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Newcastle United U18 | Derby County U18 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 78% | 50% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 78% | 44% | 40% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% | 10% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 11% | 10% | 30% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Newcastle United U18 | Derby County U18 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Newcastle United U18 | Derby County U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Newcastle United U18 | Derby County U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 2-1 | 4-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-1 | 0-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Newcastle United U18 | Derby County U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 48.3% | 51.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Newcastle United U18 or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Newcastle United U18 = 2.63 (league 2.28), Derby County U18 = 1.12 (league 2.09)
| Derby County U18 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Newcastle United U18 | 0 | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.1% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.5% · Draw 16.4% · Away win 13.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1