Wed, Feb 25 2026 • 13:00 •
Trafford Training Centre
Expected Goals
2.37 (league 2.33)
0.91 (league 2.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.4% | 17.5% | 12.7% |
best score tips
2 - 0
10.6%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Derby County U18 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manchester United U18 | 0 | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.6% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.4% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Manchester United U18 | Derby County U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 27% |
| Attack | 69% | 63% |
| Defense | 56% | 19% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
74%
FT probability
3.5+
53%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Manchester United U18 | Derby County U18 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 10 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| Wins | 50% | 80% | 67% | 14% | 44% | 31% |
| Draws | 13% | 10% | 11% | 29% | 0% | 13% |
| Loses | 38% | 10% | 22% | 57% | 56% | 56% |
Form: Manchester United U18: WWWWWLLLDDWWWLWWWW • Derby County U18: LLLLWDWLWWLWDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Manchester United U18 | Derby County U18 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 26 | 41 | 7 | 15 | 22 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 9 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 26 | 41 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 2.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Manchester United U18 | Derby County U18 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 50% | 63% | 94% |
| 1.5 | 61% | 17% | 56% | 69% |
| 2.5 | 39% | 11% | 6% | 56% |
| 3.5 | 22% | 6% | 6% | 31% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 0% | 6% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Manchester United U18 | Derby County U18 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Manchester United U18 | Derby County U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Manchester United U18 | Derby County U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-7 | 2-1 | 4-5 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 2-1 | 0-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 7 | 2 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Manchester United U18 | Derby County U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 52% | 48% |
| Def | 65% | 35% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 65% | 35% |
| Total | 70.3% | 29.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Manchester United U18 or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Manchester United U18 = 2.37 (league 2.33), Derby County U18 = 0.91 (league 2.06)
| Derby County U18 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manchester United U18 | 0 | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.6% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.4% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.4% · Draw 17.5% · Away win 12.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1