Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 12:00 •
Moor Farm Training Centre
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 2.33)
0.97 (league 2.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.3% | 33.4% | 39.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
17.7%
0 - 1
17.2%
1 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Leeds United U18 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Derby County U18 | 0 | 17.7% | 17.2% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.4% | 13.1% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Derby County U18 | Leeds United U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 33% |
| Attack | 29% | 29% |
| Defense | 54% | 61% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
71%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Derby County U18 | Leeds United U18 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 8 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 17% | 50% | 36% | 33% | 20% | 27% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 14% | 33% | 20% | 27% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 60% | 45% |
Form: Derby County U18: LLLLWDWLWWLWDL • Leeds United U18: LWDWLLWDDLL
League goals
| Metric | Derby County U18 | Leeds United U18 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 13 | 18 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 12 | 23 | 35 | 16 | 11 | 27 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Derby County U18 | Leeds United U18 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 93% | 73% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 64% | 55% | 82% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 50% | 36% | 45% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 36% | 18% | 18% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 7% | 9% | 18% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Derby County U18 | Leeds United U18 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Derby County U18 | Leeds United U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Derby County U18 | Leeds United U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 4-5 | 4-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 5-0 | 2-5 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Derby County U18 | Leeds United U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 35% | 65% |
| Total | 46.0% | 54.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Leeds United U18
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Derby County U18 = 0.76 (league 2.33), Leeds United U18 = 0.97 (league 2.06)
| Leeds United U18 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Derby County U18 | 0 | 17.7% | 17.2% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.4% | 13.1% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.3% · Draw 33.4% · Away win 39.2%
vtt 4 , vtd1