Middlesbrough U18 vs Derby County U18

U18 Premier League - North — England

Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 12:30 • Rockliffe Park

Match Finished

Middlesbrough U18

3 - 2

Derby County U18

Expected Goals

1.76 (league 2.31) 0.79 (league 2.04)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
59.6%	23.1%	16.4%

best score tips

1 - 0

13.8%

2 - 0

12.1%

1 - 1

10.9%

Score & goals probability table

		Derby County U18
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Middlesbrough U18	0	7.9%	6.2%	2.4%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	13.8%	10.9%	4.3%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
	2	12.1%	9.5%	3.8%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	7.1%	5.6%	2.2%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	3.1%	2.5%	1.0%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	1.1%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Middlesbrough U18	Derby County U18
Played	5	5
Form	0%	27%
Attack	19%	38%
Defense	33%	29%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	8 \| 1.6
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	14 \| 2.8	15 \| 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%

FT probability

2.5+

69%

FT probability

3.5+

49%

FT probability

BTTS

73%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Middlesbrough U18			Derby County U18
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	7	6	13	7	8	15
Wins	43%	17%	31%	14%	50%	33%
Draws	29%	17%	23%	29%	0%	13%
Loses	29%	67%	46%	57%	50%	53%

Form: Middlesbrough U18: WLDWDDWWLLLLL • Derby County U18: LLLLWDWLWWLWDLL

League goals

Metric	Middlesbrough U18			Derby County U18
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	10	6	16	7	13	20
GF avg	1.4	1.0	1.2	1.0	1.6	1.3
GA total	7	17	24	15	23	38
GA avg	1.0	2.8	1.8	2.1	2.9	2.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Middlesbrough U18		Derby County U18
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	62%	77%	60%	93%
1.5	38%	54%	53%	67%
2.5	23%	15%	7%	53%
3.5	0%	15%	7%	33%
4.5	0%	15%	7%	7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Middlesbrough U18			Derby County U18
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	2	1	3	1	0	1
Failed to score	2	3	5	3	3	6

Penalties

Metric	Middlesbrough U18	Derby County U18
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	4 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	4

Streaks

Metric	Middlesbrough U18	Derby County U18
Wins	2	2
Draws	2	1
Losses	1	4

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-0	2-3	2-1	4-5
Biggest losses	0-2	5-0	0-4	5-0
Goals For	3	3	2	5
Goals Against	2	6	4	5

Model comparison

Metric	Middlesbrough U18	Derby County U18
Form	0%	100%
Att	33%	67%
Def	52%	48%
Poisson Distribution	70%	30%
H2h	15%	85%
Goals	32%	68%
Total	40.4%	59.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Derby County U18

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Middlesbrough U18 vs Derby County U18

Expected goals (λ): Middlesbrough U18 = 1.76 (league 2.31), Derby County U18 = 0.79 (league 2.04)

		Derby County U18
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Middlesbrough U18	0	7.9%	6.2%	2.4%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	13.8%	10.9%	4.3%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
	2	12.1%	9.5%	3.8%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	7.1%	5.6%	2.2%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	3.1%	2.5%	1.0%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	1.1%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.6% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 16.4%

vtt 2 , vtd1

Metric	Middlesbrough U18	Derby County U18
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	4 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	4