Tue, Apr 28 2026 • 12:00 •
Blackburn Rovers Training Centre
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 2.28)
2.44 (league 1.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.9% | 19.2% | 48.0% |
best score tips
1 - 2
7.6%
2 - 2
7.0%
1 - 1
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Everton U18 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Blackburn Rovers U18 | 0 | 1.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 2.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Blackburn Rovers U18 +7.0, Everton U18 -20.8.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Blackburn Rovers U18
vs
Everton U18
Elo gapBlackburn Rovers U18 +4
Home / draw / away36% / 30% / 34%
Expected home share51%
Combined Elo3063.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3063.1
Elo home share
51%
Match tone
Strong Watch
| Metric | Blackburn Rovers U18 | Everton U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1515.9 | 1547.2 |
| Form Elo | 1512.1 | 1542.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1513.8 | 1544.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1703.1 | 1629.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1210.6 | 1492.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +7.0 | -20.8 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Blackburn Rovers U18 last-5 Elo change: +7.0; Everton U18 last-5 Elo change: -20.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Blackburn Rovers U18 | Everton U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 47% |
| Attack | 43% | 43% |
| Defense | 30% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
62%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Blackburn Rovers U18 | Everton U18 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 11 | 20 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| Wins | 56% | 27% | 40% | 50% | 55% | 52% |
| Draws | 22% | 18% | 20% | 10% | 9% | 10% |
| Loses | 22% | 55% | 40% | 40% | 36% | 38% |
Blackburn Rovers U18LDLWWLDLWWLWLDDWWWLL
Everton U18LWLDWWWLWLWLWLWWLDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Blackburn Rovers U18 | Everton U18 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 21 | 44 | 16 | 26 | 42 |
| GF avg | 2.6 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 18 | 42 | 60 | 14 | 18 | 32 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Blackburn Rovers U18 | Everton U18 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 90% | 81% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 75% | 57% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 45% | 45% | 38% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 30% | 14% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 15% | 25% | 10% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Blackburn Rovers U18 | Everton U18 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Blackburn Rovers U18 | Everton U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Blackburn Rovers U18 | Everton U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-2 | 3-8 | 4-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 9-0 | 1-4 | 5-3 |
| Goals For | 6 | 8 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 9 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Blackburn Rovers U18 | Everton U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 31% | 69% |
| Total | 40.5% | 59.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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