Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 12:00 • Bodymoor Heath Training Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 2.05) 3.55 (league 2.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.6% 11.0% 65.3%
best score tips
1 - 3
7.7%
1 - 4
6.8%
1 - 2
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
Chelsea U18
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aston Villa U18 0 0.8% 3.0% 5.3% 6.3% 5.6% 4.0%
1 1.0% 3.7% 6.5% 7.7% 6.8% 4.9%
2 0.6% 2.2% 4.0% 4.7% 4.2% 3.0%
3 0.3% 0.9% 1.6% 1.9% 1.7% 1.2%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAston Villa U18Chelsea U18
Played55
Form47%100%
Attack82%100%
Defense47%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.817 | 3.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

63%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aston Villa U18 Chelsea U18
HATHAT
Played68145813
Wins50%50%50%60%88%77%
Draws0%13%7%40%13%23%
Loses50%38%43%0%0%0%

Form: Aston Villa U18: WLLWWLWWLWWLLD • Chelsea U18: WWDWWDDWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Aston Villa U18 Chelsea U18
HATHAT
GF total152035152540
GF avg2.52.52.53.03.13.1
GA total1417314812
GA avg2.32.12.20.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAston Villa U18Chelsea U18
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%86%92%77%
1.557%71%85%15%
2.543%29%69%0%
3.529%21%38%0%
4.529%7%15%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAston Villa U18Chelsea U18
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score213101

Penalties

MetricAston Villa U18Chelsea U18
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total17

Streaks

MetricAston Villa U18Chelsea U18
Wins22
Draws02
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-02-66-11-5
Biggest losses0-46-1——
Goals For6665
Goals Against4622

Model comparison

MetricAston Villa U18Chelsea U18
Form32%68%
Att45%55%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h0%100%
Goals19%81%
Total30.4%69.6%

Advice: Combo Winner : Chelsea U18 and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aston Villa U18 = 1.22 (league 2.05), Chelsea U18 = 3.55 (league 2.01)

Chelsea U18
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aston Villa U18 0 0.8% 3.0% 5.3% 6.3% 5.6% 4.0%
1 1.0% 3.7% 6.5% 7.7% 6.8% 4.9%
2 0.6% 2.2% 4.0% 4.7% 4.2% 3.0%
3 0.3% 0.9% 1.6% 1.9% 1.7% 1.2%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.6% · Draw 11.0% · Away win 65.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1