Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 12:00 •
Bodymoor Heath Training Ground
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 2.02)
3.62 (league 1.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 8.4% | 10.7% | 64.8% |
best score tips
1 - 3
7.6%
1 - 4
6.9%
1 - 2
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Chelsea U18 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aston Villa U18 | 0 | 0.8% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| 1 | 1.0% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Aston Villa U18 | Chelsea U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 100% |
| Attack | 82% | 100% |
| Defense | 47% | 76% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 17 | 3.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
63%
FT probability
BTTS
85%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Aston Villa U18 | Chelsea U18 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 60% | 88% | 77% |
| Draws | 0% | 13% | 7% | 40% | 13% | 23% |
| Loses | 50% | 38% | 43% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Aston Villa U18: WLLWWLWWLWWLLD • Chelsea U18: WWDWWDDWWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Aston Villa U18 | Chelsea U18 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 20 | 35 | 15 | 25 | 40 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| GA total | 14 | 17 | 31 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Aston Villa U18 | Chelsea U18 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 86% | 92% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 71% | 85% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 43% | 29% | 69% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 21% | 38% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 29% | 7% | 15% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Aston Villa U18 | Chelsea U18 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Aston Villa U18 | Chelsea U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 7 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 7 |
Streaks
| Metric | Aston Villa U18 | Chelsea U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 2-6 | 6-1 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 6-1 | — | — |
| Goals For | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Aston Villa U18 | Chelsea U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 32% | 68% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 31% | 69% |
| Poisson Distribution | 25% | 75% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 19% | 81% |
| Total | 30.4% | 69.6% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Chelsea U18 and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Aston Villa U18 = 1.24 (league 2.02), Chelsea U18 = 3.62 (league 1.97)
| Chelsea U18 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aston Villa U18 | 0 | 0.8% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| 1 | 1.0% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.4% · Draw 10.7% · Away win 64.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1