Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 10:00 •
Sobha Realty Training Centre
Expected Goals
1.91 (league 2.07)
3.15 (league 1.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.3% | 15.8% | 52.7% |
best score tips
1 - 3
6.3%
2 - 3
6.0%
1 - 2
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
| West Ham United U18 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arsenal U18 | 0 | 0.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 1.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | |
| 2 | 1.1% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Arsenal U18 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 74 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Arsenal U18 +6.4, West Ham United U18 -41.8.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Arsenal U18
vs
West Ham United U18
Elo gapArsenal U18 +74
Home / draw / away47% / 22% / 31%
Expected home share60%
Combined Elo2954.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2954.2
Elo home share
60%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Arsenal U18 | West Ham United U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1496.5 | 1457.7 |
| Form Elo | 1488.9 | 1435.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1479.8 | 1481.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1618.3 | 1604.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1348.4 | 1354.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +6.4 | -41.8 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Arsenal U18 last-5 Elo change: +6.4; West Ham United U18 last-5 Elo change: -41.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arsenal U18 | West Ham United U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 7% |
| Attack | 30% | 35% |
| Defense | 65% | 30% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
84%
FT probability
3.5+
60%
FT probability
BTTS
90%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arsenal U18 | West Ham United U18 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| Wins | 27% | 45% | 36% | 50% | 30% | 41% |
| Draws | 18% | 18% | 18% | 8% | 10% | 9% |
| Loses | 55% | 36% | 45% | 42% | 60% | 50% |
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League goals
| Metric | Arsenal U18 | West Ham United U18 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 15 | 35 | 23 | 23 | 46 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 30 | 14 | 44 | 24 | 22 | 46 |
| GA avg | 2.7 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arsenal U18 | West Ham United U18 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 86% | 91% | 95% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 59% | 50% | 68% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 27% | 23% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 18% | 18% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 14% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arsenal U18 | West Ham United U18 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arsenal U18 | West Ham United U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arsenal U18 | West Ham United U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 0-3 | 5-2 | 2-8 |
| Biggest losses | 2-6 | 4-0 | 0-5 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arsenal U18 | West Ham United U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 88% | 13% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 39% | 61% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 65.5% | 34.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…