Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 13:00 •
Sportpark Cromwijck
Expected Goals
4.06 (league 1.85)
1.29 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% |
best score tips
4 - 1
6.9%
3 - 1
6.8%
5 - 1
5.6%
Score & goals probability table
| URK | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sportlust '46 | 0 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sportlust '46 | URK |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 27% |
| Attack | 48% | 35% |
| Defense | 74% | 35% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 15 | 3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
83%
FT probability
3.5+
59%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sportlust '46 | URK | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 100% | 67% | 80% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 20% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
Form: Sportlust '46: WWWWL • URK: LLDWL
League goals
| Metric | Sportlust '46 | URK | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sportlust '46 | URK | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 60% | 80% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 40% | 40% | 80% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 20% | 20% | 80% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 0% | 20% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sportlust '46 | URK | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sportlust '46 | URK |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sportlust '46 | URK |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 0-3 | — | 3-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 1-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sportlust '46 | URK |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 30% | 70% |
| Total | 55.3% | 44.7% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Sportlust '46 and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sportlust '46 = 4.06 (league 1.85), URK = 1.29 (league 1.55)
| URK | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sportlust '46 | 0 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.8% · Draw 8.9% · Away win 6.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1