Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 12:30 •
Sportpark Het Noorderslag
Expected Goals
3.02 (league 1.86)
0.91 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.9% | 12.4% | 8.1% |
best score tips
3 - 0
9.0%
2 - 0
9.0%
3 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Hoogeveen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Staphorst | 0 | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.0% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.0% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.8% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Staphorst | Hoogeveen |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 13% |
| Attack | 60% | 30% |
| Defense | 75% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Staphorst | Hoogeveen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 71% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 29% | 75% | 33% | 57% |
Form: Staphorst: WLWLWWW • Hoogeveen: LWLLDDL
League goals
| Metric | Staphorst | Hoogeveen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GF avg | 3.3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Staphorst | Hoogeveen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 71% | 71% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 29% | 43% | 71% |
| 2.5 | 43% | 0% | 14% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Staphorst | Hoogeveen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Staphorst | Hoogeveen |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Staphorst | Hoogeveen |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 2-3 | — | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Staphorst | Hoogeveen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 86% | 14% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 62% | 38% |
| Total | 70.2% | 29.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Staphorst or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Staphorst = 3.02 (league 1.86), Hoogeveen = 0.91 (league 1.54)
| Hoogeveen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Staphorst | 0 | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.0% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.0% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.8% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.9% · Draw 12.4% · Away win 8.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1