Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 13:00 • Sportpark Zuid DVS '33
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.85) 0.64 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.5% 24.4% 14.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.0%
2 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Staphorst
0 1 2 3 4 5
DVS 33 Ermelo 0 10.5% 6.7% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.0% 10.8% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.7% 8.7% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.4% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDVS 33 ErmeloStaphorst
Played55
Form87%80%
Attack69%92%
Defense77%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric DVS 33 Ermelo Staphorst
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%75%63%100%50%75%
Draws50%25%38%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%50%25%

Form: DVS 33 Ermelo: DDWWWWDW • Staphorst: WLWLWWWW

League goals

Metric DVS 33 Ermelo Staphorst
HATHAT
GF total941313417
GF avg2.31.01.63.31.02.1
GA total404358
GA avg1.00.00.50.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDVS 33 ErmeloStaphorst
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%38%75%75%
1.538%13%63%25%
2.525%0%50%0%
3.513%0%13%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDVS 33 ErmeloStaphorst
HATHAT
Clean sheets145112
Failed to score011022

Penalties

MetricDVS 33 ErmeloStaphorst
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDVS 33 ErmeloStaphorst
Wins41
Draws20
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-25-12-3
Biggest losses———2-0
Goals For4253
Goals Against2012

Model comparison

MetricDVS 33 ErmeloStaphorst
Form52%48%
Att43%57%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h71%29%
Goals69%31%
Total60.8%39.3%

Advice: Double chance : DVS 33 Ermelo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): DVS 33 Ermelo = 1.62 (league 1.85), Staphorst = 0.64 (league 1.57)

Staphorst
0 1 2 3 4 5
DVS 33 Ermelo 0 10.5% 6.7% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.0% 10.8% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.7% 8.7% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.4% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.5% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 14.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1