Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 16:00 • Sportpark Bentinckspark Veld 7
Match Finished
5 - 2

URK

Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.85) 1.66 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.1% 23.1% 38.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
1 - 2
8.4%
2 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
URK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hoogeveen 0 3.8% 6.2% 5.2% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
1 6.1% 10.1% 8.4% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6%
2 5.0% 8.2% 6.8% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
3 2.7% 4.4% 3.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
4 1.1% 1.8% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHoogeveenURK
Played55
Form13%27%
Attack50%71%
Defense21%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.215 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hoogeveen URK
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins0%25%13%0%25%13%
Draws25%25%25%50%0%25%
Loses75%50%63%50%75%63%

Form: Hoogeveen: LWLLDDLL • URK: LLDWLLLD

League goals

Metric Hoogeveen URK
HATHAT
GF total47117512
GF avg1.01.81.41.81.31.5
GA total8816121224
GA avg2.02.02.03.03.03.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHoogeveenURK
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%100%75%100%
1.538%75%38%88%
2.513%25%25%88%
3.513%0%13%13%
4.50%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHoogeveenURK
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score202022

Penalties

MetricHoogeveenURK
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHoogeveenURK
Wins11
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—2-4—3-4
Biggest losses0-23-11-53-0
Goals For2434
Goals Against3353

Model comparison

MetricHoogeveenURK
Form33%67%
Att41%59%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h20%80%
Goals29%71%
Total37.8%62.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or URK and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ 10Bet
Draw4.10 @ Bet365
Away3.75 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.83 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.37 @ Marathonbet
No2.81 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hoogeveen = 1.62 (league 1.85), URK = 1.66 (league 1.57)

URK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hoogeveen 0 3.8% 6.2% 5.2% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
1 6.1% 10.1% 8.4% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6%
2 5.0% 8.2% 6.8% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
3 2.7% 4.4% 3.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
4 1.1% 1.8% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.1% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 38.4%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1