Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 12:30 • Sportpark Het Noorderslag
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.31 (league 1.86) 0.93 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.1% 18.1% 13.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.4%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Sparta Nijkerk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Staphorst 0 3.9% 3.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.0% 8.4% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.7% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.0% 7.5% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 4.6% 4.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStaphorstSparta Nijkerk
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack59%64%
Defense68%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.614 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Staphorst Sparta Nijkerk
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins100%40%67%60%50%56%
Draws0%0%0%0%25%11%
Loses0%60%33%40%25%33%

Form: Staphorst: WLWLWWWWL • Sparta Nijkerk: WLLWWWWDL

League goals

Metric Staphorst Sparta Nijkerk
HATHAT
GF total1351813720
GF avg3.31.02.02.61.82.2
GA total38117512
GA avg0.81.61.21.41.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStaphorstSparta Nijkerk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%78%89%67%
1.556%33%67%44%
2.544%11%33%22%
3.511%0%22%0%
4.511%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStaphorstSparta Nijkerk
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricStaphorstSparta Nijkerk
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricStaphorstSparta Nijkerk
Wins44
Draws01
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-12-35-00-2
Biggest losses—3-12-32-1
Goals For5353
Goals Against1332

Model comparison

MetricStaphorstSparta Nijkerk
Form55%45%
Att48%52%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h50%50%
Goals61%39%
Total55.5%44.5%

Advice: Double chance : Staphorst or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Staphorst = 2.31 (league 1.86), Sparta Nijkerk = 0.93 (league 1.54)

Sparta Nijkerk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Staphorst 0 3.9% 3.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.0% 8.4% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.7% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.0% 7.5% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 4.6% 4.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.1% · Draw 18.1% · Away win 13.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1