Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 13:00 •
Sportpark De Vormt
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.85)
1.94 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 10.3% | 20.0% | 68.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.5%
0 - 2
15.1%
0 - 3
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| DVS 33 Ermelo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| URK | 0 | 8.0% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | URK | DVS 33 Ermelo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 87% |
| Attack | 36% | 50% |
| Defense | 23% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 17 | 3.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
93%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | URK | DVS 33 Ermelo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 0% | 20% | 11% | 60% | 75% | 67% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 22% | 40% | 25% | 33% |
| Loses | 50% | 80% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: URK: LLDWLLLDL • DVS 33 Ermelo: DDWWWWDWW
League goals
| Metric | URK | DVS 33 Ermelo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 7 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 12 | 17 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | URK | DVS 33 Ermelo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 100% | 89% | 44% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 89% | 44% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 89% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 22% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 22% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | URK | DVS 33 Ermelo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | URK | DVS 33 Ermelo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | URK | DVS 33 Ermelo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 3-4 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 5-2 | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | URK | DVS 33 Ermelo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 7% | 93% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 19% | 81% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 37.6% | 62.4% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or DVS 33 Ermelo
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): URK = 0.59 (league 1.85), DVS 33 Ermelo = 1.94 (league 1.55)
| DVS 33 Ermelo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| URK | 0 | 8.0% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.3% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 68.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1