Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 13:00 •
Sportpark De Ebbenhorst
Expected Goals
4.79 (league 1.85)
1.27 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
best score tips
4 - 1
6.5%
5 - 1
6.2%
3 - 1
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
| URK | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sparta Nijkerk | 0 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 4.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sparta Nijkerk | URK |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 55% | 50% |
| Defense | 65% | 15% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 17 | 3.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
62%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sparta Nijkerk | URK | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 60% | 40% | 50% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Draws | 0% | 20% | 10% | 40% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% | 80% | 60% |
Form: Sparta Nijkerk: WLLWWWWDLL • URK: LLDWLLLDLW
League goals
| Metric | Sparta Nijkerk | URK | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 8 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 18 |
| GF avg | 2.6 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 7 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 32 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 3.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sparta Nijkerk | URK | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 70% | 80% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 50% | 50% | 90% |
| 2.5 | 30% | 30% | 30% | 90% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 0% | 20% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sparta Nijkerk | URK | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sparta Nijkerk | URK |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sparta Nijkerk | URK |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 3-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-1 | 1-5 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sparta Nijkerk | URK |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 52% | 48% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 70% | 30% |
| Total | 65.7% | 34.3% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Sparta Nijkerk and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sparta Nijkerk = 4.79 (league 1.85), URK = 1.27 (league 1.55)
| URK | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sparta Nijkerk | 0 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 4.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.2% · Draw 6.0% · Away win 4.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1