Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 14:00 •
Sportpark Cromwijck
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.85)
0.76 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.9% | 30.3% | 23.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.9%
0 - 0
14.2%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
| DVS 33 Ermelo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sportlust '46 | 0 | 14.2% | 10.8% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.9% | 12.9% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.0% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sportlust '46 | DVS 33 Ermelo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 47% |
| Attack | 64% | 82% |
| Defense | 45% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sportlust '46 | DVS 33 Ermelo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 67% | 57% | 62% | 57% | 50% | 54% |
| Draws | 0% | 14% | 8% | 43% | 17% | 31% |
| Loses | 33% | 29% | 31% | 0% | 33% | 15% |
Form: Sportlust '46: WWWWLWDWWLWLL • DVS 33 Ermelo: DDWWWWDWWLDLW
League goals
| Metric | Sportlust '46 | DVS 33 Ermelo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 14 | 27 | 15 | 7 | 22 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 6 | 9 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sportlust '46 | DVS 33 Ermelo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 69% | 77% | 46% |
| 1.5 | 62% | 38% | 46% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 38% | 8% | 38% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 23% | 0% | 8% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sportlust '46 | DVS 33 Ermelo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sportlust '46 | DVS 33 Ermelo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sportlust '46 | DVS 33 Ermelo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-4 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sportlust '46 | DVS 33 Ermelo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 61% | 39% |
| Total | 54.3% | 45.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Sportlust '46 or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sportlust '46 = 1.19 (league 1.85), DVS 33 Ermelo = 0.76 (league 1.57)
| DVS 33 Ermelo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sportlust '46 | 0 | 14.2% | 10.8% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.9% | 12.9% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.0% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.9% · Draw 30.3% · Away win 23.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1