Derde Divisie - Saturday — Netherlands
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 13:30 • Sportpark De Koerbelt
Match Finished

Excelsior '31

1 - 2

TEC

Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.80) 1.35 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.0% 24.0% 31.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 0
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
TEC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Excelsior '31 0 5.0% 6.7% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.2% 11.1% 7.5% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.8% 9.2% 6.2% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3%
3 3.7% 5.0% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.5% 2.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricExcelsior '31TEC
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack60%40%
Defense53%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Excelsior '31 TEC
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins43%29%36%43%29%36%
Draws0%0%0%0%14%7%
Loses57%71%64%57%57%57%

Form: Excelsior '31: LWWLLLLLLWLLWW • TEC: LLLLLWWLWLDWLW

League goals

Metric Excelsior '31 TEC
HATHAT
GF total891791120
GF avg1.11.31.21.31.61.4
GA total91726121931
GA avg1.32.41.91.72.72.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineExcelsior '31TEC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%64%93%
1.536%57%50%64%
2.514%36%29%36%
3.50%21%0%21%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricExcelsior '31TEC
HATHAT
Clean sheets314101
Failed to score224325

Penalties

MetricExcelsior '31TEC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricExcelsior '31TEC
Wins22
Draws01
Losses65

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-12-3
Biggest losses0-34-10-35-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against3445

Model comparison

MetricExcelsior '31TEC
Form56%44%
Att60%40%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total52.7%47.3%

Advice: Double chance : Excelsior '31 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away2.80 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.52 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.39 @ Marathonbet
No2.69 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…
League page • Country page • Venue page • Excelsior '31 vs TEC

Expected goals (λ): Excelsior '31 = 1.65 (league 1.80), TEC = 1.35 (league 1.54)

TEC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Excelsior '31 0 5.0% 6.7% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.2% 11.1% 7.5% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.8% 9.2% 6.2% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3%
3 3.7% 5.0% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.5% 2.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.0% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 31.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1