Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 14:00 •
Sportpark De Ebbenhorst
Expected Goals
1.77 (league 1.80)
0.93 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.4% | 23.2% | 19.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
11.9%
1 - 1
11.0%
2 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| DVS 33 Ermelo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sparta Nijkerk | 0 | 6.7% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.9% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.6% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sparta Nijkerk | DVS 33 Ermelo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Attack | 87% | 53% |
| Defense | 67% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
90%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sparta Nijkerk | DVS 33 Ermelo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 57% | 57% | 57% | 57% | 43% | 50% |
| Draws | 14% | 14% | 14% | 43% | 29% | 36% |
| Loses | 29% | 29% | 29% | 0% | 29% | 14% |
Form: Sparta Nijkerk: WLLWWWWDLLWWDW • DVS 33 Ermelo: DDWWWWDWWLDLWD
League goals
| Metric | Sparta Nijkerk | DVS 33 Ermelo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 13 | 33 | 15 | 9 | 24 |
| GF avg | 2.9 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 8 | 9 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sparta Nijkerk | DVS 33 Ermelo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 93% | 64% | 79% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 36% | 50% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 36% | 21% | 36% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 0% | 7% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sparta Nijkerk | DVS 33 Ermelo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sparta Nijkerk | DVS 33 Ermelo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sparta Nijkerk | DVS 33 Ermelo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 1-4 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-1 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sparta Nijkerk | DVS 33 Ermelo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 58.0% | 42.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Sparta Nijkerk or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sparta Nijkerk = 1.77 (league 1.80), DVS 33 Ermelo = 0.93 (league 1.54)
| DVS 33 Ermelo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sparta Nijkerk | 0 | 6.7% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.9% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.6% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.4% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 19.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1