Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 13:30 •
Sportpark De Koerbelt
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.79)
1.92 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.5% | 21.6% | 60.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
11.8%
0 - 2
11.3%
1 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Sparta Nijkerk | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Excelsior '31 | 0 | 6.2% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Excelsior '31 | Sparta Nijkerk |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 87% |
| Attack | 50% | 100% |
| Defense | 56% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 18 | 3.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
93%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Excelsior '31 | Sparta Nijkerk | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| Wins | 30% | 40% | 35% | 73% | 56% | 65% |
| Draws | 10% | 0% | 5% | 9% | 22% | 15% |
| Loses | 60% | 60% | 60% | 18% | 22% | 20% |
Form: Excelsior '31: LWWLLLLLLWLLWWLWLLDW • Sparta Nijkerk: WLLWWWWDLLWWDWWWWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Excelsior '31 | Sparta Nijkerk | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 15 | 27 | 36 | 18 | 54 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 2.7 |
| GA total | 15 | 21 | 36 | 9 | 12 | 21 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Excelsior '31 | Sparta Nijkerk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 80% | 95% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 55% | 65% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 30% | 45% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 15% | 35% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 15% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Excelsior '31 | Sparta Nijkerk | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Excelsior '31 | Sparta Nijkerk |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Excelsior '31 | Sparta Nijkerk |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 7-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-1 | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Excelsior '31 | Sparta Nijkerk |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35% | 65% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 31% | 69% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 34.3% | 65.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Sparta Nijkerk
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Excelsior '31 = 0.87 (league 1.79), Sparta Nijkerk = 1.92 (league 1.57)
| Sparta Nijkerk | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Excelsior '31 | 0 | 6.2% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.5% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 60.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1