Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 13:30 • Sportpark de Bosk
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.60 (league 1.79) 1.33 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.3% 24.4% 31.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
DVS 33 Ermelo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Harkemase Boys 0 5.4% 7.1% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.6% 11.4% 7.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.1% 6.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.7% 4.9% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHarkemase BoysDVS 33 Ermelo
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack67%60%
Defense67%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Harkemase Boys DVS 33 Ermelo
HATHAT
Played91221111223
Wins44%33%38%55%42%48%
Draws33%33%33%36%25%30%
Loses22%33%29%9%33%22%

Form: Harkemase Boys: WWDWLDDDDDLLWLLWDWLWW • DVS 33 Ermelo: DDWWWWDWWLDLWDLWWDWLLDW

League goals

Metric Harkemase Boys DVS 33 Ermelo
HATHAT
GF total201838231538
GF avg2.21.51.82.11.31.7
GA total141226101525
GA avg1.61.01.20.91.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHarkemase BoysDVS 33 Ermelo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%76%83%57%
1.538%43%48%39%
2.533%5%30%9%
3.510%0%4%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHarkemase BoysDVS 33 Ermelo
HATHAT
Clean sheets1454610
Failed to score000134

Penalties

MetricHarkemase BoysDVS 33 Ermelo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHarkemase BoysDVS 33 Ermelo
Wins24
Draws52
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-33-00-2
Biggest losses1-22-11-23-0
Goals For4343
Goals Against3224

Model comparison

MetricHarkemase BoysDVS 33 Ermelo
Form59%41%
Att53%47%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total55.7%44.3%

Advice: Double chance : Harkemase Boys or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Betano
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.60 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.08 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Marathonbet
No2.20 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Harkemase Boys = 1.60 (league 1.79), DVS 33 Ermelo = 1.33 (league 1.57)

DVS 33 Ermelo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Harkemase Boys 0 5.4% 7.1% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.6% 11.4% 7.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.1% 6.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.7% 4.9% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.3% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 31.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1