Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 13:30 •
Sportpark Het Noorderslag
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.81)
1.01 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.3% | 25.9% | 25.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
12.2%
2 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| DVS 33 Ermelo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Staphorst | 0 | 8.1% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.2% | 12.3% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Staphorst | DVS 33 Ermelo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 53% |
| Attack | 90% | 90% |
| Defense | 0% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Staphorst | DVS 33 Ermelo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| Wins | 58% | 46% | 52% | 58% | 38% | 48% |
| Draws | 17% | 15% | 16% | 33% | 31% | 32% |
| Loses | 25% | 38% | 32% | 8% | 31% | 20% |
Form: Staphorst: WLWLWWWWLWWWWWWLDLWDDLDLL • DVS 33 Ermelo: DDWWWWDWWLDLWDLWWDWLLDWDW
League goals
| Metric | Staphorst | DVS 33 Ermelo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 24 | 49 | 24 | 17 | 41 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 14 | 22 | 36 | 10 | 17 | 27 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Staphorst | DVS 33 Ermelo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 80% | 84% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 44% | 48% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 36% | 20% | 28% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 0% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Staphorst | DVS 33 Ermelo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Staphorst | DVS 33 Ermelo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Staphorst | DVS 33 Ermelo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-4 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Staphorst | DVS 33 Ermelo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 31% | 69% |
| Total | 38.0% | 62.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or DVS 33 Ermelo
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Staphorst = 1.50 (league 1.81), DVS 33 Ermelo = 1.01 (league 1.55)
| DVS 33 Ermelo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Staphorst | 0 | 8.1% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.2% | 12.3% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.3% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 25.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1