Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 14:00 •
Sportpark De Vormt
Expected Goals
2.06 (league 1.81)
3.84 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.3% | 13.0% | 51.2% |
best score tips
2 - 3
5.5%
1 - 3
5.3%
2 - 4
5.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Hoogeveen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| URK | 0 | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| 1 | 0.6% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | URK | Hoogeveen |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 47% |
| Attack | 33% | 50% |
| Defense | 33% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
61%
FT probability
BTTS
86%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | URK | Hoogeveen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| Wins | 17% | 25% | 21% | 42% | 31% | 36% |
| Draws | 25% | 8% | 17% | 8% | 31% | 20% |
| Loses | 58% | 67% | 63% | 50% | 38% | 44% |
Form: URK: LLDWLLLDLWLLWLLWWLLDLDLL • Hoogeveen: LWLLDDLLWLWWLLDWWWDLDLLWW
League goals
| Metric | URK | Hoogeveen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 18 | 38 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 39 | 34 | 73 | 20 | 28 | 48 |
| GA avg | 3.3 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | URK | Hoogeveen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 92% | 76% | 96% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 83% | 52% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 71% | 32% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 29% | 8% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 21% | 4% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | URK | Hoogeveen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | URK | Hoogeveen |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | URK | Hoogeveen |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-4 | 2-5 | 5-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-6 | 6-0 | 0-3 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 6 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | URK | Hoogeveen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 22% | 78% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 33% | 67% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 40.8% | 59.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Hoogeveen and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): URK = 2.06 (league 1.81), Hoogeveen = 3.84 (league 1.55)
| Hoogeveen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| URK | 0 | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| 1 | 0.6% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.3% · Draw 13.0% · Away win 51.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1