Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 14:00 •
Sportpark Zuid DVS '33
Expected Goals
3.10 (league 1.81)
0.78 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 73.4% | 11.0% | 6.2% |
best score tips
3 - 0
10.3%
2 - 0
9.9%
3 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| URK | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| DVS 33 Ermelo | 0 | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.9% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.3% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.9% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | DVS 33 Ermelo | URK |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 27% |
| Attack | 50% | 44% |
| Defense | 44% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | DVS 33 Ermelo | URK | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 14 | 26 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 58% | 36% | 46% | 23% | 25% | 24% |
| Draws | 33% | 29% | 31% | 23% | 8% | 16% |
| Loses | 8% | 36% | 23% | 54% | 67% | 60% |
Form: DVS 33 Ermelo: DDWWWWDWWLDLWDLWWDWLLDWDWL • URK: LLDWLLLDLWLLWLLWWLLDLDLLW
League goals
| Metric | DVS 33 Ermelo | URK | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 18 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 42 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 10 | 21 | 31 | 39 | 34 | 73 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 2.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | DVS 33 Ermelo | URK | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 58% | 72% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 42% | 44% | 80% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 12% | 24% | 68% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 8% | 20% | 28% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 20% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | DVS 33 Ermelo | URK | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | DVS 33 Ermelo | URK |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | DVS 33 Ermelo | URK |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-1 | 0-6 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | DVS 33 Ermelo | URK |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 78% | 22% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 51.0% | 49.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : DVS 33 Ermelo or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): DVS 33 Ermelo = 3.10 (league 1.81), URK = 0.78 (league 1.54)
| URK | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| DVS 33 Ermelo | 0 | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.9% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.3% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.9% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.4% · Draw 11.0% · Away win 6.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1