Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 14:00 •
Sportpark Cromwijck
Expected Goals
2.33 (league 1.80)
1.35 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.1% | 19.4% | 21.1% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 1
8.0%
3 - 1
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Excelsior '31 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sportlust '46 | 0 | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sportlust '46 | Excelsior '31 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 60% | 100% |
| Defense | 20% | 30% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sportlust '46 | Excelsior '31 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 54% | 36% | 44% | 36% | 38% | 37% |
| Draws | 23% | 21% | 22% | 7% | 8% | 7% |
| Loses | 23% | 43% | 33% | 57% | 54% | 56% |
Form: Sportlust '46: WWWWLWDWWLWLLDLLDWWDLWDDLWL • Excelsior '31: LWWLLLLLLWLLWWLWLLDWWLDLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Sportlust '46 | Excelsior '31 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 28 | 16 | 44 | 19 | 21 | 40 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 17 | 20 | 37 | 21 | 25 | 46 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sportlust '46 | Excelsior '31 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 74% | 78% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 41% | 48% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 15% | 22% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 19% | 7% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sportlust '46 | Excelsior '31 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sportlust '46 | Excelsior '31 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sportlust '46 | Excelsior '31 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-4 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-0 | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sportlust '46 | Excelsior '31 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 53.8% | 46.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Sportlust '46 or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sportlust '46 = 2.33 (league 1.80), Excelsior '31 = 1.35 (league 1.54)
| Excelsior '31 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sportlust '46 | 0 | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.1% · Draw 19.4% · Away win 21.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1