Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 16:00 • Sportpark Marsana
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.77) 3.25 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.5% 8.6% 76.8%
best score tips
0 - 3
12.6%
0 - 2
11.7%
0 - 4
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Groene Ster
0 1 2 3 4 5
Meerssen 0 2.2% 7.2% 11.7% 12.6% 10.2% 6.6%
1 1.3% 4.1% 6.6% 7.1% 5.8% 3.8%
2 0.4% 1.1% 1.9% 2.0% 1.6% 1.1%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMeerssenGroene Ster
Played33
Form33%44%
Attack25%20%
Defense50%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.74 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 3.33 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

92%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Meerssen Groene Ster
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins0%50%33%50%0%33%
Draws0%0%0%0%100%33%
Loses100%50%67%50%0%33%

Form: Meerssen: LLW • Groene Ster: LDW

League goals

Metric Meerssen Groene Ster
HATHAT
GF total145314
GF avg1.02.01.71.51.01.3
GA total5510213
GA avg5.02.53.31.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMeerssenGroene Ster
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%67%100%
1.533%100%33%0%
2.533%67%33%0%
3.50%33%0%0%
4.50%33%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMeerssenGroene Ster
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricMeerssenGroene Ster
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMeerssenGroene Ster
Wins00
Draws01
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-33-1
Biggest losses1-53-10-1
Goals For1331
Goals Against5311

Model comparison

MetricMeerssenGroene Ster
Form43%57%
Att56%44%
Def23%77%
Poisson Distribution18%82%
H2h100%0%
Goals88%13%
Total45.6%54.6%

Advice: Double chance : Meerssen or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Fonbet
Draw3.75 @ Fonbet
Away2.50 @ Fonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Fonbet
No2.50 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Meerssen = 0.56 (league 1.77), Groene Ster = 3.25 (league 1.54)

Groene Ster
0 1 2 3 4 5
Meerssen 0 2.2% 7.2% 11.7% 12.6% 10.2% 6.6%
1 1.3% 4.1% 6.6% 7.1% 5.8% 3.8%
2 0.4% 1.1% 1.9% 2.0% 1.6% 1.1%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.5% · Draw 8.6% · Away win 76.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1