Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 16:00 •
Prins Willem Alexander Sportpark
Expected Goals
3.03 (league 1.78)
1.04 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4% | 13.1% | 9.6% |
best score tips
3 - 1
8.2%
2 - 1
8.1%
3 - 0
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Gemert | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Blauw Geel | 0 | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.9% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Blauw Geel | Gemert |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 40% |
| Attack | 61% | 50% |
| Defense | 78% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
84%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Blauw Geel | Gemert | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 67% | 67% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 17% | 67% | 33% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 17% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Form: Blauw Geel: WWWDLW • Gemert: LLDDWD
League goals
| Metric | Blauw Geel | Gemert | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Blauw Geel | Gemert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 83% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 17% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Blauw Geel | Gemert | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Blauw Geel | Gemert |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Blauw Geel | Gemert |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-2 | — | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Blauw Geel | Gemert |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 54.2% | 46.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Blauw Geel or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Blauw Geel = 3.03 (league 1.78), Gemert = 1.04 (league 1.55)
| Gemert | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Blauw Geel | 0 | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.9% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.4% · Draw 13.1% · Away win 9.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1