Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 12:30 •
Sportpark Marsana
Expected Goals
2.22 (league 1.76)
1.48 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.7% | 20.3% | 25.0% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 1
8.1%
2 - 2
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
| TOGB | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Meerssen | 0 | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Meerssen | TOGB |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 40% |
| Attack | 83% | 83% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
84%
FT probability
3.5+
60%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Meerssen | TOGB | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 0% | 25% | 14% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 14% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
| Loses | 67% | 75% | 71% | 25% | 67% | 43% |
Form: Meerssen: LLWDLLL • TOGB: LLDDWLD
League goals
| Metric | Meerssen | TOGB | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| GA avg | 3.3 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Meerssen | TOGB | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 71% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 100% | 71% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 57% | 29% | 57% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 14% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Meerssen | TOGB | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Meerssen | TOGB |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Meerssen | TOGB |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 2-3 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 3-1 | 2-3 | 6-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Meerssen | TOGB |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 52% | 48% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 44.5% | 55.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or TOGB and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Meerssen = 2.22 (league 1.76), TOGB = 1.48 (league 1.56)
| TOGB | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Meerssen | 0 | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.7% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 25.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1