Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:00 • Sportpark Molenbroek
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.23 (league 1.77) 1.17 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.7% 19.6% 18.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 1
8.7%
2 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Groene Ster
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gemert 0 3.3% 3.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.4% 8.7% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.3% 9.7% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2%
3 6.2% 7.2% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.4% 4.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGemertGroene Ster
Played55
Form87%60%
Attack69%56%
Defense81%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gemert Groene Ster
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins40%50%45%50%20%36%
Draws40%33%36%17%40%27%
Loses20%17%18%33%40%36%

Form: Gemert: LLDDWDWWDWW • Groene Ster: LDWDDLWLLWW

League goals

Metric Gemert Groene Ster
HATHAT
GF total9122110919
GF avg1.82.01.91.71.81.7
GA total581381119
GA avg1.01.31.21.32.21.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGemertGroene Ster
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%82%82%91%
1.564%27%55%55%
2.527%9%36%27%
3.59%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGemertGroene Ster
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricGemertGroene Ster
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGemertGroene Ster
Wins21
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-33-12-3
Biggest losses0-12-11-32-0
Goals For4333
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricGemertGroene Ster
Form59%41%
Att55%45%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h80%20%
Goals64%36%
Total66.5%33.5%

Advice: Double chance : Gemert or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ Betano
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away3.75 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.46 @ Marathonbet
No2.46 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gemert = 2.23 (league 1.77), Groene Ster = 1.17 (league 1.54)

Groene Ster
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gemert 0 3.3% 3.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.4% 8.7% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.3% 9.7% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2%
3 6.2% 7.2% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.4% 4.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.7% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 18.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1